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Non-OPEC+ to lead 2024 oil production growth, balancing out output cuts - EIA

Nearterm worldwide oil and liquids production growth will be driven mainly by the U.S., Guyana, Canada, and Brazil, offsetting voluntary production cuts by OPEC+, the U.S. Energy Information Firm (EIA) forecast on Thursday.

The increase to supply comes as the Company of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, called OPEC+, this month agreed to extend voluntary output cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day in a quote to enhance rates.

WHY IT is very important

Growth from non-OPEC+ producers might weaken efforts by OPEC+ to support the marketplace in the middle of issues about worldwide demand growth and increased products. The U.S., Canada, Brazil and Guyana represent more than 80% of global supply development in the EIA's existing projection.

BY THE NUMBERS

OPEC+ petroleum liquids production will fall by 1 million barrels each day (bpd) in 2024, while non-members' supply will grow 1.4 million bpd, led by the U.S., the EIA said.

In 2025, OPEC+ petroleum liquids production will climb by 900,000 bpd as production cuts end, while non-OPEC+ output will grow by an additional 1.1 million bpd, according to the EIA.

International petroleum and liquids supply was 101.8 million bpd in 2023, and is expected to increase by 400,000 bpd in 2024 and 2 million bpd in 2025, the EIA said.

U.S. oil production hit 13.3 million barrels daily in 2023, and is expected to grow by 400,000 bpd in 2024 and 800,000 bpd in 2025.