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BofA treks 2024 oil projections on tighter supply, geopolitical threats

Bank of America (BofA) Global Research study has raised its 2024 Brent and WTI oil price projections, pointing out intensifying geopolitical stress and the OPEC+ manufacturer group keeping supply curbs.

The bank now expects Brent and WTI crude rates this year to average $86 and $81 per barrel respectively, with rates of both peaking around $95 per barrel throughout the summertime.

Brent unrefined futures were trading around $89 per barrel at 0902 GMT on Wednesday, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were around $85 a barrel.

We now approximate that improving financial development expectations have actually helped push global oil markets into a deficit in 2Q24 and 3Q24 of ~ 450 thousand barrel daily BofA stated in a research note, which did not include its previous projections.

Geopolitical chaos has actually also increased oil need via longer trade routes and impacted supply by lowering refining capability by means of attacks on Russian energy facilities. the bank said.

A Ukrainian drone on Tuesday targeted Russia's third-largest oil refinery around 1,300 km (800 miles) away from the cutting edges, impacting a system responsible for processing around 155,000 barrels of crude per day (bpd).

OPEC+ members led by Saudi Arabia and Russia last month consented to extend voluntary oil output cuts of 2.2 million bpd into the second quarter.